Macroeconomic
Improvements:
Japan's macroeconomic conditions are witnessing
positive changes. Moderate
inflation and a weak yen are
expected to boost
consumption and economic
growth. Recent data showing
significant wage growth,
potentially leading to
increased consumer spending,
and economic expansion. For
instance, Japan's monthly wage growth since 1997 suggests a favourable environment
for economic activity
Low Valuations and Upside
Potential:
Japanese equities are currently trading at
attractive valuations. With the market priced at around 12x earnings and 1.1x book
value, close to trough levels, there is considerable upside potential. Historically, the
market has rebounded quickly from such valuation levels, indicating a favourable
outlook for investors.
Attractive Currency
Dynamics:
The weak yen presents a favourable environment for
foreign investors. Japan's currency remains one of the cheapest in developed markets,
encouraging foreign investment. A weak currency stimulates export-oriented
companies and promotes tourism, contributing positively to economic growth. For
instance, spending by tourists has historically contributed almost 1% to Japan's GDP.
Secular Growth Trends:
: Japanese companies are well-positioned to capitalize on
global secular growth trends such as automation, digitization, online commerce, and
renewable energy. Japan hosts leading automation companies whose technology is in
high demand globally. Efforts to catch up in digitization and online commerce are
expected to drive growth across various sectors.
Improving Corporate
Governance:
Corporate governance reforms in Japan are
addressing historical weaknesses in this area. Improved corporate governance is
expected to narrow the persistent discount in Japanese equities and drive higher
returns. Notably, Japanese companies have made progress in returning cash to
shareholders through dividends and buybacks.
Active Management
Opportunities:
The under-researched nature of Japanese
equities offers opportunities for active managers. Limited research coverage and
under-ownership by investors create opportunities for active managers to uncover
undervalued opportunities before the broader market. This presents a compelling
case for active management strategies in the Japanese market.
Japan's investment policy and support mechanisms reflect a concerted effort to
attract
foreign direct investment (FDI) and foster a conducive environment for investors.
Here's
an
overview based on the provided data:
FDI Trends:
Japan has seen an increase in FDI inflows, reaching USD 32.5 billion in
2022, the highest level ever recorded. While FDI flows remain relatively low
compared to other developed nations, Japan ranks as the thirteenth-largest recipient
worldwide.
Legal and Regulatory
Environment:
: Japan maintains a supportive legal and
regulatory framework for investors. Regulations are continually aligned with
international standards, providing a stable and predictable environment for
investment. Intellectual property rights are well-protected, with robust enforcement
mechanisms in place, ensuring the safety and security of investments.
Access to Capital
Markets:
Japan offers deep and accessible capital markets for
foreign investors. Nearly all foreign exchange transactions are freely permitted,
including profit transfers and capital repatriation. This accessibility enhances the
ease of doing business and facilitates efficient capital allocation.
Challenges and Reforms:
Despite the favourable investment climate, challenges
persist, including historical reluctance towards mergers and acquisitions in Japanese
corporate culture and weak corporate governance leading to low returns on equity.
However, the government is actively addressing these issues through regulatory
reforms aimed at improving corporate governance standards and enhancing investor
confidence.
Labour Laws and
Recruitment:
Japan's labour laws and recruitment systems present
challenges for investors, including inflexible regulations and a regimented system of
labour management. These factors contribute to increased costs and complexities in
human resource management. However, ongoing efforts to reform labour laws aim
to create a more flexible and business-friendly environment.
Investment Thresholds and
Notifications:
Japan imposes relatively few barriers to
foreign investment, with the main requirement being the submission of an ex post
facto report to relevant ministries. However, legislation introduced in 2020 reduced
the ownership threshold for pre-approval notification to the government for foreign
investors, particularly in industries deemed to pose potential risks to Japanese
national security.
Recognition and
Rankings:
Japan's favourable business climate is recognized
internationally, with high rankings in indices such as the Global Innovation Index and
the Index of Economic Freedom. Additionally, Japan ranks third in Kearney's Foreign
Direct Investment Confidence Index, reflecting investor confidence in the country's
investment environment.